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REAL NATIONAL SECURITY 2021

WE HAVE ONLY ONE EARTH.

WE HAVE ONLY ONE CHANCE.


THE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CRISIS

HAS ALREADY BECOME A NATIONAL SECURITY CRISIS.

 

IT'S TIME FOR AMERICA TO END ITS IMPERIAL DELUSIONS.

GIANT NEW COLD WARS WITH RUSSIA AND CHINA

ARE THE LAST THING WE NEED.

 

OUR PLANET MUST COME TOGETHER

TO FIGHT EPIDEMICS AND CLIMATE CHANGE NOW.

 

TIME IS NOT ON OUR SIDE.

NATURE IS GOING TO TAKE ACTION

WITH OR WITHOUT OUR POLITICAL LEADERS.


America spends more on war than the next seven nations combined and yet over 500,000 Americans just got killed by a foreign enemy. Is this real national security? We think not.

The current plague is just a part of growing environmental problems that threaten all life on earth.   Meanwhile, the world is running up astronomical levels of debt to cover the cost of the plague.

Clearly, we need a new concept of "national security."

So far there are encouraging signs from the new Biden team but it is far too soon to tell if we are going to get the changes we need.

We would like to applaud President Joe Biden for rejoining the START Treaty and for making climate change a national security priority. We have supported President Joe Biden from the moment he announced his candidacy and we think he has gotten off to a great start. We would also like to thank President Joe Biden for rejoining the Paris Climate Agreement.

However, we will say that the new sanctions upon Russia announced on April 16th, 2021, are not helpful. Tensions will only increase between the two major world super powers.

The current cost of the military competition with Russia and China makes it impossible to have the resources to focus on other life and death matters such as climate change, the Coronavirus and economic threats.

Furthermore, the escalation of tensions creates a growing danger of a hot war or a nuclear war unless things are changed. The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists have recently placed the Doomsday Clock at 100 seconds to midnight, the closest it's ever been.

In terms of the relationship with Russia and China, we're not going to judge who is at fault or who started what. But the point is that the current situation does not benefit anyone. It does not benefit Russia, the U.S., or China.

We have been involved in non-violent conflict resolution for years, we have some ideas in this report for how to reduce tensions. In our view we must reduce tensions. There is no America first, China first, or Russia first. The global crises of our time cannot be solved without international cooperation.

Team Biden needs to develop a plan to reduce tensions with Russia and China. 


THE NEW COLD WAR WITH RUSSIA

Russia is unlike any other country on the planet. They are the one country that could wipe the United States off the face of the Earth in 45 minutes. Russia currently has the largest arsenal of nuclear warheads in the world. If there is a nuclear war, the consequences for the global environment would kill everybody else on the planet, not just the citizens of America and Russia.

There is no such thing as a controlled or limited nuclear war. Former Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis once said: “I don’t think there’s any such thing as a tactical nuclear weapon. Any nuclear weapon used at any time is a strategic game changer.”

As a result, there is a need for mature and intelligent relations between America and Russia.

We're not defending the actions of Russia. We are not saying that America should tolerate outrageous behavior from Russia. However, there is a difference between being tough and suicidal.

CONFLICT WITH RUSSIA OVER UKRAINE

The most serious foreign policy problem that occurred during the Obama Administration was the start of a new cold war with Russia.

Since the end of the Cold War, the West and NATO betrayed their promise not to expand, and NATO today extends right up to the borders of Russia and is just an hour away from St. Petersburg. This is a very sensitive issue to Russia because they have been invaded twice in the last 100 years. And key battles in Russian history have taken place in areas such as Estonia. So the Russians have good reason to see the expansion of NATO as a direct threat.

Now in 2014, the very unstable state of Ukraine became even more unstable.  The modern state of Ukraine is an artificial creation, sort of the “Yugoslavia” of the Black Sea. It is an ethnically and linguistically divided nation. The Russian-speaking folk in the East are not too fond of the Ukrainian speaking folk in the West and the feeling is mutual. In 2014, a series of violent rebellions toppled a legally elected government in Ukraine, and the Russians had very good reason to believe that the hostile anti-Russian government that came to power would threaten a vital Russian security asset, their naval base at Sevastopol in the Crimea.

There is every indication that the population of Crimea wants to be part of Russia. In spite of this reality, Obama started a New Cold War with Russia and launched a massive campaign of economic warfare against Russia.

THE NEED FOR A SPECIAL AMBASSADOR TO RUSSIA

To be specific we encourage the Biden team to appoint a special ambassador to try to reduce dangerous tensions with Russia. We need a special ambassador who will have a commitment to a professional approach to resolving problems… not cheering on the dangerous, failed neoconservative policies such as those advocated by people like Michael McFaul, Bob Menendez, Victoria Nuland and Bob Kagan. From Iraq, to Syria, to Libya, to Yemen… the disaster of neoconservative ideas should be apparent to all sane people.

 

A PEACE PLAN FOR UKRAINE

A peace plan needs to be developed for Ukraine to end this mess.  

We call on all reasonable people to support an internationally supervised plebiscite in Ukraine to help the different provinces to decide their own future. The situation in Ukraine is an ethnic conflict between ethnic Ukrainians and Russians. We have both Ukrainian and Russian friends.  We need a road to a peaceful future for all. Why not give peace and democracy a try?

A CASE STUDY OF WHAT NOT TO DO: MORE SANCTIONS

Sanctions are an act of war. The current sanctions campaign has escalated problems and solved nothing. 

The effort to destroy the Nordstream II pipeline needs to end. This is an act of economic warfare against Germany as well as Russia.  Russians are almost done with the pipeline. So we're not really sure what sanctioning the pipeline will accomplish.

AMERICA’S SANCTIONS MAKE RUSSIAN OIL DRILLING LESS SAFE

Another issue is whether the American sanctions against Russia on oil producing material could lead to oil spills, if these sanctions could lead to disaster by preventing the Russians from having the best equipment in drilling in dangerous areas. That's another factor to keep in mind.

REJOIN KEY NUCLEAR TREATIES

America has also pulled out of several key nuclear agreements with Russia since the end of the Cold War.

As we stated above, rejoining the START Treaty was a good decision on the part of the Biden Administration. But more needs to be done.

The United States also needs to rejoin the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and Open Skies.


THE NEW COLD WAR WITH CHINA

Under the Trump Presidency, America launched economic attacks against companies such as Huawei in an attempt to destroy some of China's key technology assets. Former President Trump's threats against China have led to a troubling escalation in Chinese nuclear military spending. This was all very counterproductive from a trade point of view.

And now the trade deficit is worse. In the long run, the Chinese are going to restructure their economy to be less dependent on the West. As a result, America will be weaker. China will be stronger.

At the same time, the Chinese have not been too realistic in their behavior in the South China Sea and other areas such as the seas near Japan. They are making territorial claims that are quite farfetched.

TIME TO WIND DOWN ECONOMIC THREATS AGAINST CHINA

In the case of China, we need to have an adult discussion behind the scenes about the economic problems and put an end to direct acts of economic war such as the attempt to destroy Huawei. How would America feel if China tried to destroy Microsoft? Or Google? Would we just accept a foreign country trying to destroy U.S. corporations? No, we would not. So that all needs to be wound down.


AMERICA CANNOT SOLVE ITS FINANCIAL CRISIS

WITHOUT WINDING DOWN THE COLD WARS WITH CHINA AND RUSSIA

Right now, President Joe Biden's situation frankly verges on hopeless because until the military spending situation can be brought down, the U.S. government is in a financial crisis that is not resolvable. So these things need to be adopted. We will add to our plans on this, but we wanted to put forth this report to clarify thinking on this subject.


DANGER OF A RUSSO-CHINESE ALLIANCE

Continuation of current policies will likely create a Russo-Chinese military alliance, a total disaster for the US.


HUMAN RIGHTS AND AMERICAN HYPOCRISY

One of the concerns that has been brought up is the human rights issues in Russia and China.

Specifically in Russia, there is the alleged poisoning and then later arrest of the Putin opposition figure, Alexei Navalny. We're not going to get into whether Putin poisoned Navalny or not.  It certainly is not clear.   But Navalny himself is a questionable character who has a history of stirring up racist and nationalist sentiments.

There's also the problem of fascist political forces in the Ukraine, many of whom played a key role in the violent overthrow of a legally elected government in 2014.

So supporting the opposition to Putin within Ukraine and Russia is not necessarily support for human rights.

We also have to point out the hypocrisy in the situation of Prince MBS Arabia, who killed the journalist Khashoggi, and there are no sanctions against Prince MBS. He also killed 200,000 people in Yemen with US support.

America's attacks on other nations have killed millions since 2003.

We also have to point out that there are severe human rights issues in the U.S. as well. The United States certainly is no shining example of human rights.   One reason for the huge death toll from the plague today is that America is the only modern state that does not offer health care as a right.

Using sanctions to promote human rights is not an answer, because sanctions often make things worse for the poorest and most vulnerable people in the countries they target.

America should try to defend human rights.  However realistic goals and equal standards need to be set.


ENVIRONMENTAL THREATS AN AGENDA FOR ACTION FOR THE U.S. GOVERNMENT

We are all connected in the web of life.  There is no America first, China First, India first or other nationalistic solution to global environmental problems. 

As we mentioned above, we would like to applaud Team Biden for making climate change a national security priority and for rejoining the Paris Climate Agreement. But if we are spending trillions on forever wars, we cannot focus on the most serious threats that we face, such as environmental threats and disease.

Climate change and environmental threats are now one of the greatest threats to human life on the planet, and they are not being taken seriously either.

A particularly horrific affair is America's garbage crisis and the pollution of the ocean.

In regards to the ocean, it's difficult to begin to even cover the scale of the disaster.  Overfishing is a total disaster.  The destruction of the coral reefs is a total disaster.  The acidification of the oceans due to climate change is a total disaster and perhaps most ominously of all, the poisoning of the oceans via the gigantic garbage islands that are all over the world.  These contain huge amounts of plastic, which are turning into microplastic and killing and poisoning whole sections of the ocean's life.  It is particularly horrifying that even in some of the deepest and most obscure parts of the oceans, like the Mariana Trench, plastic has been found.  The plastic is a direct threat to all life.

What should be done about the crisis in the ocean?  The first thing that should be done for the United States is to have U.S. intelligence agencies start monitoring the situation.  Specifically, U.S. intelligence agencies should start monitoring the world's fishing fleets, particularly the Chinese fishing fleets to see if they're doing what they claim they are doing.  The intelligence agencies should also monitor the plastic islands to see what the scale of those things are and where the plastic is coming from, and which countries are generating the plastic.  We should also monitor the coral reefs.

An all out campaign should be launched to clean up the garbage islands. This will require billions of dollars. The outflow of plastic from major countries needs to be curbed and drastic action needs to be taken about this. For example, if a particular river is seen as generating a huge amount of plastic, something needs to be done to prevent the plastic from getting into the ocean. This will require international cooperation because some countries may not be able to afford to pay for the actions that are needed to prevent the plastic from getting into the oceans. There needs to be a far larger creation of wildlife reserves where nature can replenish itself. An overall particular problem in our view is the lack of information about what's going on and the dependence on commercial interests for that information. This needs to end. Governments need to take charge of this. Specifically, the American government needs to do more to monitor this and not simply rely on what a country like China might or might not say.

The national security and foreign policy decision making parts of the U.S. government need to be restructured to deal with this.  In other words, there should be an oceans task force on the National Security Council and there should be an Oceans Department in the state Department. 

In the end, we need a much stricter set of international treaties, and equally important, if not more important, a system to enforce those treaties if we are to avoid having the oceans destroyed.

We also need to set up a functional recycling system. Since recycling in America is a disaster. Especially after China started refusing to take our trash in 2018. And because of the Coronavirus, much more plastic waste is being generated. The government may have to make some tough decisions: tax increases or spending cuts in other areas. We don't have the specifics or all the answers here. But it's important to acknowledge that this is a crisis that needs to be addressed, because it is part of the greater, overall environmental crisis on this planet.


2021:  A MOMENT OF TRUTH

In this report, we're not saying we have all the answers. But our key point is that it's time to fight real problems.  The continuation of confrontational policies towards Russia and China will likely lead to hot wars and nuclear wars. Even during the Cold War, there were measures put in place to manage the relationship between the U.S. and Russia, to try and prevent the onslaught of nuclear war. This is not the case anymore.

So there needs to be the development of a professional relationship between the U.S., Russia, and China to prevent the worst from happening.   In particular, the Second Crimean War needs to end.  

We need to come together as a planet to fight real problems.   If not, these problems are going to unleash a wave of disaster that we may not survive.

Team Biden has made some good statements.  However, we also hear talk of threats against Russia, in particular.

500,000 Americans are already dead because of wrong national security priorities.   Overseas, millions have been killed.  Many millions more have had their lives ruined because America has followed imperial delusions peddled by the Neo-conservatives like Bob Kagan.

Team Biden is doing some good things.  It's saying some good things.  However, it is very unclear that the necessary changes are coming.    You cannot fight climate change without a complete repudiation of imperial delusions and forever wars.  Period.

The time for major change is now. 

Health care for all Americans should be at the top of the agenda.   Health care should be a right as it is in every major nation.    The distortion of national priorities by the delusions of liberal imperialism must end.   Iraq, Libya, Syria and Yemen.   The slaughter needs to end abroad, and it needs to end at home.

So 2021 is a moment of truth.   Talk about making climate change a matter of "national security" will be just that, talk, unless real changes in national security priorities are made.   In the worst case scenario, the new cold wars launched by America against Russia and China will eliminate all life on the planet if they lead to a nuclear war.  Sanctions are acts of war and have led to hot wars in the past.   We need to change direction.   An effort by America must be made to end the New Cold Wars. 

Those who oppose these ideas and who cling to the imperial delusions should give the America people a figure.  How many more Americans need to die before we have real reform?   500,000 is not enough? 

There is a huge human rights crisis in our world today.  It's here in America.  500,000 people did not need to die.  They got killed by wrong national security priorities.   It's time for President Biden to change those priorities.


LINKS

National Security Petitions (Earth Future Action)

We link to a number of petitions showing huge public and bipartisan support for changes in U.S. national security priorities, along with an end to forever wars.

 

The most dangerous situation humanity has ever faced (Jerry Brown, CNN, 1-27-21)

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists have announced that the hands of the iconic Doomsday Clock remain at 100 seconds to midnight -- as close to the end of humanity as the clock has ever been. While there are some encouraging signs now emerging, we continue to teeter at the brink of apocalypse and moving the Clock away from midnight would provide false hope at a time when urgent action is needed.

 

Putting Hypersonic Missiles on a Virginia-Class Attack Submarine Could Start World War III (National Interest, 2-9-21)

An adversary observing a missile launch from an American (cruise missile submarines) SSGN might mistake it for a nuclear first strike. “These missiles shouldn’t be launched from anything resembling a (Ballistic missile submarine) SSBN,” Robert Farley, a University of Kentucky political scientist, noted on his blog.

The U.S. Navy has confirmed that the Block V version of its Virginia-class attack submarines will be the first vessels in the fleet to carry a new hypersonic missile the service is developing.